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集体土地直接入市,对楼市影响有多大?

时间:2017-12-25 10:18:33 来源:未知 作者:admin 点击:

斗牛斗牛TUDISHICAIFUZHIMU。RENHEFENGCHUICAODONG,DOUHUIDAILAIZHANGYUANYINGXIANG。

ZHEIYICI,TUDIZHIDUGAIGE,ZHONGYUMAICHUSHIZHIXINGBUFA。

23RITIQIANQUANGUORENDACHANGWEIHUISHENYIDETUDIGUANLIFA、CHENGSHIFANGDICHANGUANLIFAXIUZHENGANCAOAN,ZAITUDIZHIDUGAIGESHANGZUOCHUTANSUO:

斗牛斗牛1、SHANQULEXIANXINGTUDIGUANLIFAGUANYUCONGSHIFEINONGYEJIANSHESHIYONGTUDIDE,BIXUSHIYONGGUOYOUTUDIHUOZHEZHENGWEIGUOYOUDEYUANJITITUDIDEGUIDING;

斗牛斗牛2、DUITUDILIYONGZONGTIGUIHUAQUEDINGWEIGONGYE、SHANGYEDENGJINGYINGXINGYONGTU,BINGJINGYIFADENGJIDEJITIJIANSHEYONGDI,YUNXUTUDISUOYOUQUANRENTONGGUOCHURANG、CHUZUDENGFANGSHIJIAOYOUDANWEIHUOZHEGERENSHIYONG。

3、XIANXINGCHENGSHIFANGDICHANGUANLIFA,GUANYUJITITUDIBIXUXIANZHENGSHOUWEIGUOYOUHOUCAINENGCHURANGDEGUIDING,XINZENGJIAYIJU“FALVLINGYOUGUIDINGDECHUWAI”,YIXIANJIETUDIGUANLIFAXIUGAI。

ZHEISANTIAOXIUGAI,JIANERYANZHIKEGAIKUOWEIFEINONGJIANSHEYONGDIBUZAI“BIXUGUOYOU”、GONGSHANGYEXIAOCHANQUANFANGYOUWANGZHUANZHENG、XIANGGUANFAGUITONGBUXIUGAI。

ZHEIYIWEIZHESHENME,YOUHUIDUILOUSHIDAILAIHEZHONGYINGXIANG?


01 不再“必须国有”,意味着什么?

斗牛斗牛BUZAI“BIXUGUOYOU”,TINGQILAIHENAOKOU。YAOXIANGLIJIEZHEIJUHUADEHANYI,BIXUYAOMINGBAIWOGUODETUDIZHIDUYOUHETESHUZHICHU。

ZAIZHONGGUO,CHENGSHITUDIGUIGUOJIASUOYOU,NONGCUNTUDIGUIJITISUOYOU。ZHEILIDEJITITUDI,BAOHANCHENGZHONGCUNZAINEI。JIBIANSHIBEICBDGANGJINSHUINISENLINBAOWEIDECHENGZHONGCUN,QIYONGDIXINGZHIRENGJIUSHIJITIYONGDI,ERFEIGUOYOUYONGDI。

斗牛斗牛CHENGSHIJIANSHESHI,GUOYOUTUDIKEYIZHIJIERUSHIJIAOYI,ERBAOKUOCHENGZHONGCUNZAINEIDEJITITUDI,ZEYAOTONGGUOZHENGFUZHENGSHOU,XIANZAITUDIXINGZHISHANGBIANCHENGGUOYOUTUDI,CAINENGZAIERJISHICHANGSHANGJINXINGJIAOYI。

斗牛斗牛GUOYOUTUDIZHIJIERUSHI,JITIYONGDIBIXU“GUOYOUHUA”FANGNENGRUSHI。HOUZHEBIQIANZHEDUOLEYIGE“ZHONGJIANSHANG”,ZHEIJIUDAILAIWUQIONGWUJINDEWENTI。ZUOWEI“ZHONGJIANSHANG”DEDIFANGZHENGFUKEYITONGGUO“ZHUANCHAJIA”DEFANGSHI,ZAIQIZHONGHUOQUJUEDETUDICHURANGJIN。ERLIYIFENPEIMAODUN,YEWEICHENGZHONGCUNGAIZAO、CHENGSHICHAIQIANDAILAIJUDAMAODUN。

斗牛斗牛GENGGUANJIANDESHI,SUOYOUTUDIDOUBIXUZHUANWEIGUOYOUXINGZHIFANGNENGRUSHIJIAOYI,NEIMEDIFANGZHENGFUSHUNSHICHENGLETUDIDEWEIYIGONGYINGZHE。WEIYI,BIRANYIWEIZHELONGDUAN,LONGDUANBIRANYIWEIZHEGONGJIBUZU,GONGJIBUZUBIRANDAILAIGONGQIUSHIHENG,ERGONGQIUSHIHENGZHENGSHIFANGJIASHANGZHANGDEZUIDADONGLIZHIYI。

RUGUONONGCUNJITITUDI,BUZAI“BIXUGUOYOU”,SHENZHIHUODEYUCHENGSHIGUOYOUTUDITONGDENGDEQUANYI。NEIME,TUDIGONGYINGLONGDUANZHI,JIUHUISHIQUGENBENZHICHENG。

YIYANYIBIZHI,MEILE“ZHONGJIANSHANG”ZHUANCHAJIA。

DANGRAN,ZHEIBINGFEITUDIXINGZHIBIANHUA,JITITUDIHAISHIJITITUDI,GUOYOUTUDIHAISHIGUOYOUTUDI。ZHISHIZAIRUSHIJIAOYISHANG,FANGSHIFASHENGLEBIANHUA。CIQIANBUFENCHENGSHIJIUYIFANGKAILENONGCUNJITITUDIJIANSHEZULINFANG,RUJINJITIJINGYINGTUDIZHIJIESHANGSHIYOUWANG,ZHEIDOUSHIJUTISHIYONGFANGSHIBIANHUA,BUSHEJITUDIZHIDUBENSHEN。

斗牛斗牛TONGSHI,LILUNSHIYIFANGMIAN,XIANSHISHILINGYIFANGMIAN。MEIYOUDUOSHAOCHENGSHINENGJUJUETUDICAIZHENGDEYOUHUO,YEMEIYOUJIGECHENGSHINENGBAITUOTUDILONGDUANGONGYINGDELIYIYILAI。JUTIRUHELUODI,RENGYOULAIXIZEGONGBU。


02 小产权房转正仍旧无望!

斗牛斗牛JITITUDIKEYIRUSHIJIAOYI,ZHEISHIFOUYIWEIZHEXIAOCHANQUANFANGZHUANZHENG?

XIANRANBUSHI。ZHEIYICIDEJITITUDIRUSHI,SHIYOUMINGQUEQIANTIDE。ZHEIYIQIANTIJIUSHI:GONGYE、SHANGYEDENGJINGYINGXINGYONGTU。

ZHEIYIWEIZHE,GONGSHANGYEYONGTUDEJITITUDIKEYIRUSHI,ZHUZHAIDEJITITUDIRENGJIUGUANMENJINSUO。HUANYANZHI,ZHIYOUGONGYESHANGYELEIDEXIAOCHANQUANFANGYOUWANGZHUANZHENG,DANZHUZHAILEIXIAOCHANQUANFANGZHUANZHENGRENGJIUYAOYAOWUQI。

斗牛斗牛JIUZAISHANGGEYUE,GUANGDONGCHUTAIGUIDING,MINGQUEZHICHU:DUIXIAOCHANQUANFANGDENGBUFUHEFALVFAGUIGUIDINGDE,BUYUBANLIXIANGGUANDENGJISHOUXU。QUNIAN,GUOTUZIYUANBUHEZHUJIANSHEBUYEMINGQUEQIANGDIAO:

FANGZHIXIAOCHANQUANFANGTONGGUOBUDONGCHANDENGJIHEFAHUA。

CIQIAN,SHENZHENCHUTAIGUIDING,NIDUIGONGYE、CHANYELEIXIAOCHANQUANFANGYUYIZHUANZHENG,DANZHUZHAILIWAI,ZHEIYUZHENGTIFALVFAGUIDEJINGSHENXIANGYIZHI。

XIANRAN,JITITUDIRUSHIDEKOUZI,ZHIXIANGGONGYE、CHANYE、SHANGYELEIGUANGKAIDAMEN。ZHIYUZHUZHAILEIXIAOCHANQUANFANGZHUANZHENGDEXIWANG,RENGJIUMIAOMANG。

SUOWEIZHUZHAILEIXIAOCHANQUANFANG,QISHIJIUSHIJITITUDISHANGJIANSHEDEZHUZHAI。LILUNSHANG,ZHIYOUZHAIJIDIFANGNENGJIANSHEZHUZHAI,ZHEIXIEZHUZHAIZHINENGWEICUNMINSUOYOU,BUDEZHUANRANGJIQITASHIMIN。ZHEIXIEXIAOCHANQUANFANG,MEIYOUBUDONGCHANZHENG,BUNENGZAISHICHANGSHANGZHIJIEJINXINGJIAOYI,HAISHISHIMIANLINZHEQINGLIWEIJIANDEFENGXIAN。

YUSHANGPINFANGDUIBI,LIJIEHUIGENGJIAQINGXI。SHANGPINFANGSHUANGZHENGHEYI,JIYOUTUDISHIYONGZHENG,YEYOUFANGWUCHANQUANZHENG,NENGDIYANENGDAIKUANNENGJIAOYI,NENGZHENZHENGFENXIANGCHENGZHENHUADEHONGLI。

斗牛斗牛SUOYI,XIAOCHANQUANFANGLIZHUANZHENGHAIYOUXIANGDANGYUANDEJULI。(GENGDUOCANJIAN《LOUSHIBILEIZHINAN:ZHEIXIEFANGZIBUYAOPENG》)

ZHISUOYIRUCI,HEXINYUANYINBUZAIYUFALVFAGUI,ERZAIYUXIANSHILIYI:XIAOCHANQUANFANGGUIMOPANGDA,YIDANFANGKAI,JIANGHUIDUIZHUFANGSHICHANGCHANSHENGJUDACHONGJI。

斗牛斗牛XIAOCHANQUANFANGGUIMOJIEJINSHANGPINFANGDE2/3。GENJUTONGJI,QUANGUOXIAOCHANQUANFANGYUEWEI73YIPINGFANGMI,ZHANBIYUEWEI24%。ERSHANGPINFANGWEI112YIPINGFANGMI,YUEWEIZHENGTIZHUFANGDE38%。ERLEISISHENZHENZHEIYANGDECHENGSHI,XIAOCHANQUANFANGGUIMOSHISHANGPINFANGDE3BEIDUO。

斗牛斗牛RUGUOXIAOCHANQUANFANGFANGKAISHANGSHI,FANGJIABIRANYINGSHENGERLUO,ZHEIXIANRANBUSHIGEJIZHENGFUYUANYIKANDAODE,YEBUSHISUOYOUSHANGPINFANGGOUFANGZHESUONENGJIESHOUDE。


03 对楼市影响有多大?

TUDISHIFANGDICHANHECHENGSHIJIANSHEDEFADONGJI。TUDIZHIDUBIANGE,YINGXIANGZIRANBURONGXIAOQU,DANRENHEBIANGEDOUNANYIYICUERJIU,DUIYUSHIJIYINGXIANGYOUBUNENGGUODUGAOGU。

斗牛斗牛RUGUOZHEIYIFALVFAGUINENGGOUDEDAOTONGGUO,NEIMEJIANGDAILAISANDAYINGXIANG。

其一,实体企业受益,商业类投资遭受冲击。斗牛斗牛集体土地入市,不再“必须国有”,没有中间商赚差价,不仅工业商业类土地成本有望降低,而且在市场驱动之下,供给有望井喷。对于广大实体企业而言,这是显而易见的利好;但对于厂房和写字楼等商业类投资者,则是巨大利空。

其二,住宅仍然例外,小产权房转正遥遥无期。集体土地入市的利好,只局限于工业商业领域,宅基地被排除在外,住宅也被排除在外。究其根本,小产权房规模庞大,一旦获得上市资格,必将对商品房产生巨大冲击。这一场景,地方政府和有房一族都不愿意看到。

其三,土地财政面临变革,房地产税还有多远?如果没了中间商赚差价,那么土地财政必然受到影响。当然,目前影响范围还很有限,局限于工业商业领域。但对于一二线城市来说,本来土地资源就已不足,土地财政空间越来越小,未来谁来取代土地财政?房地产税必然是绕不开的一环。

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